Themes: Xi Jinping’s Global Initiatives and political thought; China’s relations with the global south and the west; China’s approach to the current world order and its ambitions for the future.
Concise commentary on complex issues from different points of view.
The UKNCC Guest Contributor Programme offers contrasting ‘short, sharp reads’ for those seeking a fuller exploration of key questions. This issue explores:
“How does China view the future of world order?”
Authors, alphabetically by surname:
- Dr. Olivia Cheung, Research Fellow, SOAS China Institute
- Dr Sari Arho Havrén, RUSI Associate Fellow and visiting scholar at the University of Helsinki
- Dr. Catherine Jones, Lecturer, University of St Andrews
Contact us at:
perspective.ukncc@pm.me
How does China view the future of world order?
Dr. Olivia Cheung Research Fellow, SOAS China Institute
May 2024
The UK National Committee on China (UKNCC) Guest Contributor Programme highlights contrasting responses, by leading authors, to key questions posed by the UKNCC. The programme is designed to stimulate a deeper exploration of China related issues; drive curiosity; and test conventional wisdom.
Contact us at:
perspective.ukncc@pm.me
Response 1 of 3
China’s supreme leader Xi Jinping seeks to transform the existing international order into a “more democratic” and Chinafriendly one. In this respect, Xi has introduced three Global Initiatives: on Development (2021), Security (2022), and Civilisation (2023). These constitute China’s proposals for a new global governance system and the forging of a “common destiny for humankind,” as per the Chinese Foreign Ministry’s 2023 Proposal on the Reform and Development of Global Governance.
Xi complains that the current world order, dominated by the US-led West and default liberal values and norms, is biased not only against China, but also developing countries — the Global South. In China’s view, the US-led world order furthers the interests of wealthy Western nations by virtue of keeping the Global South down. For China this is nothing short of power politics and bullying: not only is this order unjust, it is also not fit for purpose for the 21st century. This unsustainability is allegedly self-evident through what Xi has termed the “four deficits,” or the lack of “peace, security, trust, and governance,” in inter-state relations.

Based on the above, Xi has made the case that fundamental reform to the international system is long overdue. More specifically, it needs to be “democratised.” How? And, as per the 2023 Proposal, the way forward is to implement his three Global Initiatives. This should, he contends, correct biases against the Global South, and hence enhance the power of the China-led Global South vis-à-vis Western nations.
The Global Development Initiative was introduced to show that China genuinely has the interests of the Global South in mind. In line with the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, it posits that the post-pandemic recovery of developing countries is the topmost priority, topping the agenda of global post-pandemic recovery. The Global Development Initiative identifies poverty alleviation, food security, equitable vaccine distribution, development financing, climate change, industrialisation, digital economy, and connectivity, as “priority areas” for the Global South. These “priority areas” have seen heightened Chinese engagement with the Global South, as evidenced through the Belt and Road Initiative, the United Nations and other multilateral institutions.
The Global Security Initiative was put forward at a time when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine plunged Europe into its worst security crisis since the end of the Second World War.
It maintains that “all countries are equal in terms of security interests.” This reinforces Beijing’s expressed sympathy for Russia’s “special military operation” in Ukraine and criticism of NATO for its treatment of Russia. Allegedly, NATO’s expansion has “disregarded [sic.] Russia’s legitimate security concerns and driven [sic.] it to the corner of confrontation,” a claim that NATO has strongly refuted. Beijing’s concept paper of the Initiative condemns the “abuse” of “unilateral sanctions and long-arm jurisdiction.” Condemning the treatment it has received from Western nations and organisations, the Initiative seeks to promote the United Nations, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, BRICS, and other multilateral institutions that are pro-China or amenable to being Beijing-friendly as platforms to promote dialogue that can further peace and stability. These are implicitly contrasted with NATO and other US-led military alliances or partnerships, repudiated for seeking their own security to the detriment of the security of others. This critique was outlined in a joint statement issued by China and Russia on February 4th 2022, shortly before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
The Global Civilisation Initiative holds that there are “diversified paths towards modernisation.” It maintains that no country should be put under pressure to “copy other countries’ development model” and that each country is entitled to the right of “independent development.” The global governance system should thus respect the “diversity of civilisations.” “Civilisations” are primarily understood as the political systems of individual countries, each valuable in their own merit. These proclamations echo a speech Xi made in 2015: “Since the end of the Cold War, some countries afflicted by Western values have been in turmoil … If we tailor our practices to the Western capitalist value system or measure China’s development against the Western capitalist evaluation system—in other words, upholding the Western standard as the sole standard, and repudiating deviations from it as backward and obsolete—I dread to contemplate the consequences! We will either trail behind slavishly or subject to abuse.” According to Xi, criticism of China’s one-party political system, human rights record, or statecentric economic model, is tantamount to disrespect to the Chinese civilisation, and malpractice of “true multilateralism.” Many nations, often in the Global South and particularly those with colonial histories or records of human rights violations, are sensitive to foreign criticism of their domestic affairs. Xi’s Global Civilisation Initiative, while undoubtedly self-serving, also resonates with these governments. Whilst China asserts that the three Initiatives protect the legitimate rights and interests of the Global South, in reality, their main purpose is the advancing of China’s interests, rights, and worldview within the international system.

In The Political Thought of Xi Jinping, based on a contextualised interpretation of all of Xi’s main speeches and writings, Steve Tsang and I concluded that Xi’s vision of a Sino-centric world order is his modern adaptation of tianxia (literally “all-under-heaven”). Xi said in 2017: “The Chinese nation has aspired for ‘all being one family under heaven’ since ancient times. We believe in harmony between humankind and the world, harmony among all nations, and great harmony for all under tianxia. We long for the utopian world of “when the Great Way prevails, tianxia works” for the common good.” . . . People of different countries across the world should uphold the concept of “we are all one family under heaven,” embrace each other with open arms, understand each other, seek commonalities and respect differences, and collectively work hard to build the common destiny for humankind.”
Tianxia is the Sino-centric order in pre-modern East Asia, one which was in place at various points in time between imperial China’s Qin (221- 206 BC) and Qing (1644-1912) dynasties.
When tianxia dictated China’s relations with the international stage, China’s influence and leverage travelled as far as premodern logistical capabilities allowed. The tianxia order was hierarchical: when China was economically and militarily the most powerful country, it was venerated by vassal states at its periphery, which submitted to China in the interests of their security and prosperity. This model also captured an element of admiration of Chinese culture. In exchange for their submission, China offered its vassal states valuable trading opportunities and security assurance. In Xi’s romanticised reconstruction of pre-modern Asian history, as seen in his speeches on the Belt and Road Initiative for example, tianxia delivered lasting peace and stability. In reality the Chinese empire resorted to force to assert its authority like other great empires elsewhere.
Tsang and I concluded that Xi is pursuing a five-pronged strategy to re-create his vision of tianxia for today’s world. These are:
- Prioritise the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) security, which includes Xi’s security, over standard calculation of national interests;
- Double down on CCP-centric nationalism, especially when asserting China’s contested sovereignty claims;
- Prioritise China’s interests and values, as defined by the Party, above those of other countries and the international system;
- Establish and consolidate Chinese leadership in international organisations and throughout the world, while simultaneously avoiding global responsibilities or burdens that do not benefit China;
- Solicit global recognition of the superiority of China’s governance and development models.
The three Global Initiatives are Xi’s most systematic attempts to date which seek to put this five-pronged strategy into action. These Initiatives are heavily dependent on soliciting the buy-in of the Global South, in order to obtain the broad-based international support necessary for the creation of a Sino-centric world order, officially presented as “the common destiny for humankind.”
To be clear, Xi has expressed that he is not reinventing the wheel, but simply aims to make the world fairer. In his view, it is the US-led West, not China, which is revisionist, by allegedly imposing their interests and values onto the international system, all in the name of upholding the liberal international order. In contrast, Xi has portrayed China as fulfilling its duty as a “responsible great power,” actively trying to “steer” the international system to be respectful of other states. This assertion legitimises Xi’s tactic of calling his vision of a Sino-centric order an “international system centred on the United Nations,” and one which defends the interests of the Global South.
Dr. Sari Arho Havrén RUSI Associate Fellow and visiting scholar at the University of Helsinki













